The 89th Academy Awards ceremony will take place on Sunday, February 26th, 2017.

As I have been doing for a few years, after posting my ballots for many guild awards, I post my fictional ballot for the Oscars. These “votes” show who I would like to win; the vote for Best PIcture follows the rule of preferential ballot used in reality. As a rule, I abstain from my fictional vote if I haven’t seen at least half of the nominees. And, to be perfectly clear, I’m not a member of AMPAS.

The full list of nominees can be seen here. (And what I expect to win, here.)

Here it goes:

Best Supporting Actor: Michael Shannon for Nocturnal Animals

Best Editing: Joe Walker for Arrival

Best Makeup and Hairstyling: Joel Harlow and Richard Alonzo for Star Trek Beyond

Best Costume Design: Mary Zophres for La La Land

Best Production Design: Jess Gonchor and Nancy Haigh for Hail, Caesar!

Best Sound Mixing: Bernard Gariépy Strobl and Claude La Haye for Arrival

Best Sound Editing: Sylvain Bellemare for Arrival (Not seen: Deepwater Horizon)

Best Supporting Actress: Viola Davis for Fences

Best Documentary Feature: Fire at Sea (Not seen: Life, Animated, OJ: Made in America)

Best Documentary Short: abstain (Not seen: Extremis, 4.1 Miles, Joe’s Violin, Watani: My Homeland, The White Helmets)

Best Music (Original Score): Justin Hurwitz for La La Land

Best Music (Original Song): Justin Hurwitz, Benj Pasek and Justin Paul for “City of Stars” from La La Land (Not seen, but heard: “Can’t Stop the Feeling” from Trolls, “The Empty Chair” from Jim: The James Foley Story)

Best Animated Feature: Kubo and the Two Strings

Best Visual Effects: Robert Legato, Adam Valdez, Andrew R. Jones and Dan Lemmon for The Jungle Book

Best Animated Short Film: Pearl

Best Live Action Short Film: abstain (Not seen: Ennemis Intérieurs, La Femme et Le TGV, Silent Nights, Sing, Timecode)

Best Foreign Language Film: The Salesman – Iran (Not seen: Land of Mine – Denmark, Tanna – Australia)

Best Actor: Denzel Washington for Fences

Best Adapted Screenplay: Eric Heisserer for Arrival

Best Original Screenplay: Kenneth Lonergan for Manchester by the Sea (Not seen: 20th Century Women)

Best Cinematography: Linus Sandgren for La La Land (Not seen: Silence)

Best Actress: Isabelle Huppert for Elle (Not seen: Ruth Negga in Loving)

Best Director: Denis Villeneuve for Arrival

Best Picture: Arrival

2) La La Land

3) Hell or High Water

4) Fences

5) Hidden Figures

6) Manchester by the Sea

7) Moonlight

8) Lion

9) Hacksaw Ridge